NFL and College Football Betting Trends: Favorites Covering Spread, Overs Hitting, and Customer-Friendly Results
After eleven weeks of NFL action, favorites have a slight edge against the spread, with more games going over the total than under it. The chalk has a record of 83-79 ATS, and underdogs have won about one-third of the games. There have been 86 overs and 76 unders, resulting in positive outcomes for customers.
DraftKings mentioned "customer-friendly results" impacting revenue due to favorites winning and covering the spread, along with games going over the total. The Westgate SuperBook also noted that afternoon games have not been favorable for them this season, with many favorites winning and covering.
Caesars Sportsbook echoed similar sentiments about the NFL season being profitable for customers, attributing it to higher-scoring games and favorites consistently covering the spread. However, college football has seen a different trend, with underdogs having more success in FBS-versus-FBS matchups.
In college football, underdogs hold a slight edge against the spread at 314-310-1, with approximately 25.9% of games resulting in outright underdog wins. There have been 310 overs and 315 unders in these matchups, indicating a balanced outcome for bettors.
Overall, the NFL season has been favorable for customers, while college football has seen a mix of results. The trends in both leagues suggest that betting strategies may need to be adjusted based on the specific matchups and teams involved.